Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 East Women
Australia
Newcastle Falcons WHOME · -
84 : 522024.04.14 · 종료
Canberra WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME71.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY28.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
HOME 72.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+71.7%
VALUE EDGE+71.7%
FAIR ODDS1.39
GRADEA
Newcastle Falcons WAnalysis MetricsCanberra W
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
+12.00
Point MarginHigher is better
+8.67
149.33
Pace ProxyComparison metric
160.17
75.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
66.7%
0.8일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.2 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Newcastle Falcons W
W · 66-86W · 63-76L · 76-85W · 79-63L · 69-72
Canberra W
L · 71-68W · 64-54W · 56-104L · 78-92L · 59-73
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.04.19 | Newcastle Falcons W | 75 : 57 | Canberra W |
| 2024.04.14 | Newcastle Falcons W | 84 : 52 | Canberra W |
| 2023.03.25 | Newcastle Falcons W | 61 : 52 | Canberra W |