Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 East Women
Australia
Maitland Mustangs WHOME · -
71 : 682024.04.13 · 종료
Canberra WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME51.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY48.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+51.8%
VALUE EDGE+51.8%
FAIR ODDS1.93
GRADEA
Maitland Mustangs WAnalysis MetricsCanberra W
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
+7.25
Point MarginHigher is better
+8.67
151.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
160.17
71.4%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
66.7%
6.2일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.8 / 15
Prediction separation1.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Maitland Mustangs W
W · 81-49L · 63-76L · 81-57L · 71-67W · 69-72
Canberra W
W · 64-54W · 56-104L · 78-92L · 59-73W · 91-40
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.04.18 | Maitland Mustangs W | 77 : 57 | Canberra W |
| 2024.06.22 | Canberra W | 81 : 62 | Maitland Mustangs W |
| 2024.04.13 | Maitland Mustangs W | 71 : 68 | Canberra W |
| 2023.03.18 | Canberra W | 71 : 59 | Maitland Mustangs W |