Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

NBL1 East Women Australia

Canberra WHOME · -

64 : 542024.04.06 · 종료

Illawarra Hawks WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME85.1%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY14.9%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK HOME 89.5% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +85.1%

VALUE EDGE+85.1%

FAIR ODDS1.17

GRADEA

Canberra WAnalysis MetricsIllawarra Hawks W

58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%

+8.67 Point MarginHigher is better -14.50

160.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 151.83

50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%

14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement13.4 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

85.1%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

14.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Canberra W

W · 56-104L · 78-92L · 59-73W · 91-40L · 75-69

Illawarra Hawks W

L · 56-104L · 62-86L · 72-45L · 69-44W · 58-70

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.06.13	Illawarra Hawks W	77 : 83	Canberra W
2026.04.11	Canberra W	69 : 43	Illawarra Hawks W
2024.04.06	Canberra W	64 : 54	Illawarra Hawks W
2023.07.23	Illawarra Hawks W	56 : 104	Canberra W
2023.06.17	Canberra W	98 : 53	Illawarra Hawks W