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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL1 East Women Australia
Sutherland Sharks WHOME · -
94 : 702024.04.06 · 종료
Penrith P. WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME88.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY12.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100
AI PICK HOME 89.5% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +88.0%
VALUE EDGE+88.0%
FAIR ODDS1.14
GRADEA
Sutherland Sharks WAnalysis MetricsPenrith P. W
50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 8.3%
+4.83 Point MarginHigher is better -26.50
147.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 141.83
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.7 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
88.0%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
12.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Sutherland Sharks W
L · 93-88W · 78-92L · 54-65W · 94-100W · 68-116
Penrith P. W
L · 57-47L · 53-68L · 50-91L · 48-54L · 44-74

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.07.17Sutherland Sharks W74 : 60Penrith P. W
2026.05.31Penrith P. W56 : 88Sutherland Sharks W
2024.04.06Sutherland Sharks W94 : 70Penrith P. W
2023.05.27Sutherland Sharks W99 : 47Penrith P. W