Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 East Women
Australia
Maitland Mustangs WHOME · -
63 : 762024.04.06 · 종료
Newcastle Falcons WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME28.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY71.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM66 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
95/100
AI PICK
AWAY 72.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+71.6%
VALUE EDGE+71.6%
FAIR ODDS1.40
GRADEB
Maitland Mustangs WAnalysis MetricsNewcastle Falcons W
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
+7.25
Point MarginHigher is better
+12.00
151.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
149.33
71.4%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
37.5%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
66/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.1 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Maitland Mustangs W
L · 81-57L · 71-67W · 69-72W · 48-54W · 69-44
Newcastle Falcons W
L · 76-85W · 79-63L · 69-72W · 72-45W · 44-74
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.07.18 | Maitland Mustangs W | 86 : 84 | Newcastle Falcons W |
| 2026.05.16 | Newcastle Falcons W | 78 : 60 | Maitland Mustangs W |
| 2024.07.13 | Newcastle Falcons W | 94 : 52 | Maitland Mustangs W |
| 2024.04.06 | Maitland Mustangs W | 63 : 76 | Newcastle Falcons W |
| 2023.07.15 | Newcastle Falcons W | 69 : 72 | Maitland Mustangs W |
| 2023.04.15 | Maitland Mustangs W | 70 : 61 | Newcastle Falcons W |