Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 East Women
Australia · NBL1 East Women - Quarter-finals
Norths Bears WHOME · -
81 : 572023.07.29 · 종료
Maitland Mustangs WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME83.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY16.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
HOME 84.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+83.3%
VALUE EDGE+83.3%
FAIR ODDS1.20
GRADEA
Norths Bears WAnalysis MetricsMaitland Mustangs W
91.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
+22.92
Point MarginHigher is better
+7.25
159.08
Pace ProxyComparison metric
151.75
85.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
40.0%
6.3일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement10.7 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Norths Bears W
W · 101-80W · 33-100W · 50-91W · 116-44L · 77-74
Maitland Mustangs W
L · 71-67W · 69-72W · 48-54W · 69-44L · 58-69
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.05.30 | Norths Bears W | 76 : 72 | Maitland Mustangs W |
| 2024.06.29 | Norths Bears W | 82 : 55 | Maitland Mustangs W |
| 2023.07.29 | Norths Bears W | 81 : 57 | Maitland Mustangs W |
| 2023.03.26 | Maitland Mustangs W | 50 : 73 | Norths Bears W |