Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 East Women Australia

Illawarra Hawks WHOME · -

56 : 1042023.07.23 · 종료

Canberra WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME31.9%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY68.1%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK AWAY 67.9% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +68.1%

VALUE EDGE+68.1%

FAIR ODDS1.47

GRADES

Illawarra Hawks WAnalysis MetricsCanberra W

25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%

-14.50 Point MarginHigher is better +8.67

151.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 160.17

16.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 66.7%

7.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 0.9일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement13.8 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

31.9%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

68.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Illawarra Hawks W

L · 62-86L · 72-45L · 69-44W · 58-70W · 84-74

Canberra W

L · 78-92L · 59-73W · 91-40L · 75-69L · 80-94

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.06.13	Illawarra Hawks W	77 : 83	Canberra W
2026.04.11	Canberra W	69 : 43	Illawarra Hawks W
2024.04.06	Canberra W	64 : 54	Illawarra Hawks W
2023.07.23	Illawarra Hawks W	56 : 104	Canberra W
2023.06.17	Canberra W	98 : 53	Illawarra Hawks W