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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL1 East Women Australia
Penrith P. WHOME · -
53 : 682023.07.22 · 종료
Central Coast WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME36.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY63.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100
AI PICK AWAY 57.8% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +63.8%
VALUE EDGE+63.8%
FAIR ODDS1.57
GRADEB
Penrith P. WAnalysis MetricsCentral Coast W
8.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 8.3%
-26.50 Point MarginHigher is better -33.33
141.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 141.83
14.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
6.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

68/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.4 / 15
Prediction separation11.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
36.2%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
63.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Penrith P. W
L · 50-91L · 48-54L · 44-74L · 58-70L · 58-66
Central Coast W
W · 62-86L · 71-74L · 83-68W · 47-73L · 77-67

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.06.21Penrith P. W70 : 57Central Coast W
2026.05.24Central Coast W71 : 59Penrith P. W
2024.04.14Central Coast W86 : 57Penrith P. W
2023.07.22Penrith P. W53 : 68Central Coast W
2023.04.02Central Coast W84 : 63Penrith P. W