Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 East Women Australia

Penrith P. WHOME · -

50 : 912023.07.15 · 종료

Norths Bears WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME12.0%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY88.0%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK AWAY 88.9% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +88.0%

VALUE EDGE+88.0%

FAIR ODDS1.14

GRADES

Penrith P. WAnalysis MetricsNorths Bears W

8.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 91.7%

-26.50 Point MarginHigher is better +22.92

141.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 159.08

14.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 100.0%

6.2일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.9일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

76/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.5 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

12.0%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

88.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Penrith P. W

L · 48-54L · 44-74L · 58-70L · 58-66W · 87-68

Norths Bears W

W · 116-44L · 77-74W · 70-57W · 80-94W · 92-87

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.06.13	Penrith P. W	67 : 113	Norths Bears W
2024.07.06	Penrith P. W	45 : 92	Norths Bears W
2024.05.11	Norths Bears W	78 : 68	Penrith P. W
2023.07.15	Penrith P. W	50 : 91	Norths Bears W
2023.04.15	Norths Bears W	93 : 36	Penrith P. W