Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 East Women
Australia
Newcastle Falcons WHOME · -
72 : 452023.07.09 · 종료
Illawarra Hawks WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME88.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY12.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
HOME 88.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+88.0%
VALUE EDGE+88.0%
FAIR ODDS1.14
GRADEA
Newcastle Falcons WAnalysis MetricsIllawarra Hawks W
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
+12.00
Point MarginHigher is better
-14.50
149.33
Pace ProxyComparison metric
151.83
75.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
0.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.4 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Newcastle Falcons W
W · 44-74W · 77-74W · 50-71W · 55-87W · 123-47
Illawarra Hawks W
L · 69-44W · 58-70W · 84-74L · 58-101L · 98-53
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.05.23 | Newcastle Falcons W | 76 : 64 | Illawarra Hawks W |
| 2024.06.01 | Illawarra Hawks W | 81 : 93 | Newcastle Falcons W |
| 2023.07.09 | Newcastle Falcons W | 72 : 45 | Illawarra Hawks W |
| 2023.06.03 | Illawarra Hawks W | 49 : 70 | Newcastle Falcons W |