Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 East Women
Australia
Penrith P. WHOME · -
48 : 542023.07.09 · 종료
Maitland Mustangs WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME21.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY78.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
AWAY 77.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+78.4%
VALUE EDGE+78.4%
FAIR ODDS1.27
GRADES
Penrith P. WAnalysis MetricsMaitland Mustangs W
8.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
-26.50
Point MarginHigher is better
+7.25
141.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
151.75
14.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
40.0%
0.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.6 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Penrith P. W
L · 44-74L · 58-70L · 58-66W · 87-68L · 93-48
Maitland Mustangs W
W · 69-44L · 58-69W · 81-68W · 77-67W · 75-61
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.06.20 | Penrith P. W | 53 : 81 | Maitland Mustangs W |
| 2024.06.16 | Penrith P. W | 77 : 72 | Maitland Mustangs W |
| 2024.05.18 | Maitland Mustangs W | 68 : 69 | Penrith P. W |
| 2023.07.09 | Penrith P. W | 48 : 54 | Maitland Mustangs W |