Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 East Women
Australia
Penrith P. WHOME · -
44 : 742023.07.08 · 종료
Newcastle Falcons WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME13.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY86.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
AWAY 88.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+86.1%
VALUE EDGE+86.1%
FAIR ODDS1.16
GRADEA
Penrith P. WAnalysis MetricsNewcastle Falcons W
8.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
-26.50
Point MarginHigher is better
+12.00
141.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
149.33
14.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
37.5%
6.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.3 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Penrith P. W
L · 58-70L · 58-66W · 87-68L · 93-48L · 99-47
Newcastle Falcons W
W · 77-74W · 50-71W · 55-87W · 123-47W · 49-70
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.06.28 | Newcastle Falcons W | 86 : 36 | Penrith P. W |
| 2024.04.27 | Penrith P. W | 75 : 80 | Newcastle Falcons W |
| 2023.07.08 | Penrith P. W | 44 : 74 | Newcastle Falcons W |