Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 East Women Australia

Newcastle Falcons WHOME · -

77 : 742023.07.02 · 종료

Norths Bears WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME50.7%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY49.3%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK HOME 52.5% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +50.7%

VALUE EDGE+50.7%

FAIR ODDS1.97

GRADEA

Newcastle Falcons WAnalysis MetricsNorths Bears W

50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 91.7%

+12.00 Point MarginHigher is better +22.92

149.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 159.08

75.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 100.0%

0.7일 Rest daysComparison metric 0.9일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement10.1 / 15

Prediction separation0.6 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

50.7%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

49.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Newcastle Falcons W

W · 50-71W · 55-87W · 123-47W · 49-70L · 76-69

Norths Bears W

W · 70-57W · 80-94W · 92-87L · 93-86W · 30-95

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.05.09	Norths Bears W	93 : 75	Newcastle Falcons W
2026.03.28	Newcastle Falcons W	65 : 66	Norths Bears W
2024.05.26	Newcastle Falcons W	78 : 82	Norths Bears W
2023.07.02	Newcastle Falcons W	77 : 74	Norths Bears W
2023.05.27	Norths Bears W	76 : 69	Newcastle Falcons W