Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 East Women Australia

Penrith P. WHOME · -

58 : 702023.07.02 · 종료

Illawarra Hawks WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME67.2%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY32.8%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK HOME 67.9% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +67.2%

VALUE EDGE+67.2%

FAIR ODDS1.49

GRADEB

Penrith P. WAnalysis MetricsIllawarra Hawks W

8.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%

-26.50 Point MarginHigher is better -14.50

141.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 151.83

14.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%

7.8일 Rest daysComparison metric 0.8일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

68/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement6.7 / 15

Prediction separation14.7 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

67.2%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

32.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Penrith P. W

L · 58-66W · 87-68L · 93-48L · 99-47L · 61-114

Illawarra Hawks W

W · 84-74L · 58-101L · 98-53L · 49-70W · 87-68

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.07.19	Illawarra Hawks W	95 : 65	Penrith P. W
2026.05.16	Penrith P. W	67 : 79	Illawarra Hawks W
2024.04.20	Illawarra Hawks W	79 : 56	Penrith P. W
2023.07.02	Penrith P. W	58 : 70	Illawarra Hawks W
2023.03.18	Illawarra Hawks W	74 : 83	Penrith P. W