Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 East Women Australia

Penrith P. WHOME · -

58 : 662023.06.24 · 종료

Hills Hornets WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME73.2%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY26.8%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK HOME 73.0% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +73.2%

VALUE EDGE+73.2%

FAIR ODDS1.37

GRADEA

Penrith P. WAnalysis MetricsHills Hornets W

8.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%

-26.50 Point MarginHigher is better +9.33

141.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 160.33

14.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 42.9%

7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement3.0 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

73.2%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

26.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Penrith P. W

W · 87-68L · 93-48L · 99-47L · 61-114L · 49-80

Hills Hornets W

L · 64-80L · 30-95L · 56-69L · 83-43L · 39-74

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.07.10	Penrith P. W	67 : 93	Hills Hornets W
2024.06.02	Hills Hornets W	91 : 74	Penrith P. W
2023.06.24	Penrith P. W	58 : 66	Hills Hornets W
2023.04.14	Hills Hornets W	59 : 86	Penrith P. W