Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 East Women
Australia
Newcastle Falcons WHOME · -
123 : 472023.06.17 · 종료
Hornsby S. WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME88.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY12.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
93/100
AI PICK
HOME 88.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+88.0%
VALUE EDGE+88.0%
FAIR ODDS1.14
GRADEA
Newcastle Falcons WAnalysis MetricsHornsby S. W
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
+12.00
Point MarginHigher is better
-7.33
149.33
Pace ProxyComparison metric
155.33
75.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
42.9%
13.2일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.2 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Newcastle Falcons W
W · 49-70L · 76-69W · 80-66W · 66-86W · 42-98
Hornsby S. W
L · 106-61W · 56-69L · 48-90L · 65-99L · 62-117
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.07.12 | Newcastle Falcons W | 74 : 46 | Hornsby S. W |
| 2026.06.14 | Hornsby S. W | 62 : 94 | Newcastle Falcons W |
| 2024.07.06 | Hornsby S. W | 64 : 81 | Newcastle Falcons W |
| 2024.04.20 | Newcastle Falcons W | 85 : 59 | Hornsby S. W |
| 2023.06.17 | Newcastle Falcons W | 123 : 47 | Hornsby S. W |