Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 East Women
Australia
Illawarra Hawks WHOME · -
49 : 702023.06.03 · 종료
Newcastle Falcons WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME19.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY80.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
AWAY 84.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+80.1%
VALUE EDGE+80.1%
FAIR ODDS1.25
GRADES
Illawarra Hawks WAnalysis MetricsNewcastle Falcons W
25.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
-14.50
Point MarginHigher is better
+12.00
151.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
149.33
16.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
37.5%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.5 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Illawarra Hawks W
W · 87-68L · 63-91L · 70-82W · 72-78L · 69-63
Newcastle Falcons W
L · 76-69W · 80-66W · 66-86W · 42-98W · 85-48
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.05.23 | Newcastle Falcons W | 76 : 64 | Illawarra Hawks W |
| 2024.06.01 | Illawarra Hawks W | 81 : 93 | Newcastle Falcons W |
| 2023.07.09 | Newcastle Falcons W | 72 : 45 | Illawarra Hawks W |
| 2023.06.03 | Illawarra Hawks W | 49 : 70 | Newcastle Falcons W |