Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 East Women
Australia
Canberra WHOME · -
93 : 482023.06.03 · 종료
Penrith P. WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME72.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY27.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
HOME 73.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+72.2%
VALUE EDGE+72.2%
FAIR ODDS1.38
GRADEA
Canberra WAnalysis MetricsPenrith P. W
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
8.3%
+8.67
Point MarginHigher is better
-26.50
160.17
Pace ProxyComparison metric
141.83
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
4.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.1 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Canberra W
L · 72-82W · 65-85W · 89-60L · 44-72L · 80-50
Penrith P. W
L · 99-47L · 61-114L · 49-80W · 85-65L · 86-68
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.04.25 | Canberra W | 73 : 52 | Penrith P. W |
| 2024.05.04 | Penrith P. W | 56 : 53 | Canberra W |
| 2023.06.03 | Canberra W | 93 : 48 | Penrith P. W |
| 2023.04.23 | Penrith P. W | 46 : 61 | Canberra W |