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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL1 East Women Australia
Sutherland Sharks WHOME · -
99 : 472023.05.27 · 종료
Penrith P. WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME82.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY17.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100
AI PICK HOME 84.0% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +82.1%
VALUE EDGE+82.1%
FAIR ODDS1.22
GRADES
Sutherland Sharks WAnalysis MetricsPenrith P. W
50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 8.3%
+4.83 Point MarginHigher is better -26.50
147.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 141.83
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
6.2일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.7 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
82.1%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
17.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Sutherland Sharks W
L · 85-91W · 83-43W · 66-99W · 67-92L · 91-65
Penrith P. W
L · 61-114L · 49-80W · 85-65L · 86-68L · 46-61

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.07.17Sutherland Sharks W74 : 60Penrith P. W
2026.05.31Penrith P. W56 : 88Sutherland Sharks W
2024.04.06Sutherland Sharks W94 : 70Penrith P. W
2023.05.27Sutherland Sharks W99 : 47Penrith P. W