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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL1 East Women Australia
Norths Bears WHOME · -
76 : 692023.05.27 · 종료
Newcastle Falcons WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME77.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY23.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100
AI PICK HOME 77.7% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +77.0%
VALUE EDGE+77.0%
FAIR ODDS1.30
GRADEA
Norths Bears WAnalysis MetricsNewcastle Falcons W
91.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
+22.92 Point MarginHigher is better +12.00
159.08 Pace ProxyComparison metric 149.33
85.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 37.5%
6.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.5 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
77.0%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
23.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Norths Bears W
W · 107-63W · 62-117W · 80-50W · 114-56W · 96-39
Newcastle Falcons W
W · 80-66W · 66-86W · 42-98W · 85-48W · 86-70

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.05.09Norths Bears W93 : 75Newcastle Falcons W
2026.03.28Newcastle Falcons W65 : 66Norths Bears W
2024.05.26Newcastle Falcons W78 : 82Norths Bears W
2023.07.02Newcastle Falcons W77 : 74Norths Bears W
2023.05.27Norths Bears W76 : 69Newcastle Falcons W