Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 East Women
Australia

Hornsby S. WHOME · -
48 : 902023.05.21 · 종료
Maitland Mustangs WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME12.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY88.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
AWAY 88.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+88.0%
VALUE EDGE+88.0%
FAIR ODDS1.14
GRADEA
Hornsby S. WAnalysis MetricsMaitland Mustangs W
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
-7.33
Point MarginHigher is better
+7.25
155.33
Pace ProxyComparison metric
151.75
20.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
40.0%
0.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.4 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Hornsby S. W
L · 65-99L · 62-117L · 38-97L · 85-65L · 60-91
Maitland Mustangs W
L · 63-68W · 71-56L · 56-70W · 59-69W · 49-63
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.04.25 | Maitland Mustangs W | 62 : 74 | Hornsby S. W |
| 2023.05.21 | Hornsby S. W | 48 : 90 | Maitland Mustangs W |
| 2023.04.01 | Maitland Mustangs W | 104 : 52 | Hornsby S. W |