Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 East Women
Australia
Penrith P. WHOME · -
61 : 1142023.05.20 · 종료
Manly W. WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME15.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY84.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
AWAY 84.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+84.7%
VALUE EDGE+84.7%
FAIR ODDS1.18
GRADES
Penrith P. WAnalysis MetricsManly W. W
8.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
75.0%
-26.50
Point MarginHigher is better
+19.08
141.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
154.08
14.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
75.0%
7.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.8 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Penrith P. W
L · 49-80W · 85-65L · 86-68L · 46-61L · 59-57
Manly W. W
W · 39-74W · 86-61W · 91-65W · 59-57W · 73-95
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.04.19 | Manly W. W | 110 : 57 | Penrith P. W |
| 2024.06.15 | Penrith P. W | 40 : 63 | Manly W. W |
| 2023.05.20 | Penrith P. W | 61 : 114 | Manly W. W |
| 2023.04.22 | Manly W. W | 59 : 57 | Penrith P. W |