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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL1 East Women Australia
Newcastle Falcons WHOME · -
85 : 482023.05.06 · 종료
Inner West Bulls WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME79.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY20.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100
AI PICK HOME 77.7% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +79.1%
VALUE EDGE+79.1%
FAIR ODDS1.26
GRADES
Newcastle Falcons WAnalysis MetricsInner West Bulls W
50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 0.0%
+12.00 Point MarginHigher is better -39.25
149.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 161.42
75.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.1 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
79.1%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
20.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Newcastle Falcons W
W · 86-70W · 74-51L · 70-61W · 57-67W · 61-52
Inner West Bulls W
W · 73-66W · 92-71L · 72-60L · 50-74W · 41-71

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.07.04Inner West Bulls W41 : 102Newcastle Falcons W
2026.05.03Newcastle Falcons W110 : 67Inner West Bulls W
2024.07.07Newcastle Falcons W93 : 28Inner West Bulls W
2024.04.13Inner West Bulls W66 : 86Newcastle Falcons W
2023.06.24Inner West Bulls W55 : 87Newcastle Falcons W
2023.05.06Newcastle Falcons W85 : 48Inner West Bulls W