Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 East Women Australia

Penrith P. WHOME · -

85 : 652023.05.06 · 종료

Hornsby S. WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME87.8%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY12.2%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM65 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100

AI PICK HOME 88.9% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +87.8%

VALUE EDGE+87.8%

FAIR ODDS1.14

GRADEB

Penrith P. WAnalysis MetricsHornsby S. W

8.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%

-26.50 Point MarginHigher is better -7.33

141.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 155.33

14.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 42.9%

7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

65/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.1 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement3.0 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

87.8%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

12.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Penrith P. W

L · 86-68L · 46-61L · 59-57L · 93-36W · 59-86

Hornsby S. W

L · 60-91L · 38-84L · 85-60L · 41-71L · 104-52

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.05.09	Penrith P. W	61 : 92	Hornsby S. W
2024.06.22	Hornsby S. W	56 : 86	Penrith P. W
2023.05.06	Penrith P. W	85 : 65	Hornsby S. W