Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 East Women Australia

Hills Hornets WHOME · -

69 : 632023.05.06 · 종료

Illawarra Hawks WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME59.7%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY40.3%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK HOME 53.0% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +59.7%

VALUE EDGE+59.7%

FAIR ODDS1.68

GRADEA

Hills Hornets WAnalysis MetricsIllawarra Hawks W

58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%

+9.33 Point MarginHigher is better -14.50

160.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 151.83

80.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%

7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement11.7 / 15

Prediction separation8.3 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

59.7%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

40.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Hills Hornets W

L · 59-69L · 74-51L · 96-39L · 76-61L · 59-86

Illawarra Hawks W

L · 114-56L · 69-57W · 85-60L · 84-50L · 86-50

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.07.18	Illawarra Hawks W	68 : 92	Hills Hornets W
2026.06.27	Hills Hornets W	91 : 61	Illawarra Hawks W
2024.07.12	Illawarra Hawks W	73 : 51	Hills Hornets W
2024.05.04	Hills Hornets W	85 : 72	Illawarra Hawks W
2023.05.06	Hills Hornets W	69 : 63	Illawarra Hawks W