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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL1 East Women Australia
Norths Bears WHOME · -
80 : 502023.05.06 · 종료
Canberra WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME86.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY13.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100
AI PICK HOME 88.9% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +86.5%
VALUE EDGE+86.5%
FAIR ODDS1.16
GRADEA
Norths Bears WAnalysis MetricsCanberra W
91.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%
+22.92 Point MarginHigher is better +8.67
159.08 Pace ProxyComparison metric 160.17
85.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 66.7%
6.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 13.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement10.4 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
86.5%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
13.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Norths Bears W
W · 114-56W · 96-39W · 93-36L · 70-73W · 70-75
Canberra W
W · 46-61W · 38-84L · 61-71L · 68-54L · 90-81

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.07.04Canberra W77 : 93Norths Bears W
2024.06.01Norths Bears W92 : 78Canberra W
2023.06.24Canberra W80 : 94Norths Bears W
2023.05.06Norths Bears W80 : 50Canberra W