Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 East Women Australia

Newcastle Falcons WHOME · -

86 : 702023.04.29 · 종료

Sydney Comets WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME46.1%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY53.9%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK AWAY 52.5% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +53.9%

VALUE EDGE+53.9%

FAIR ODDS1.85

GRADEA

Newcastle Falcons WAnalysis MetricsSydney Comets W

50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%

+12.00 Point MarginHigher is better -8.25

149.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 144.75

75.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%

6.2일 Rest daysComparison metric 8.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement6.6 / 15

Prediction separation3.4 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

46.1%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

53.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Newcastle Falcons W

W · 74-51L · 70-61W · 57-67W · 61-52W · 64-55

Sydney Comets W

L · 73-95W · 67-84W · 87-57W · 74-62W · 109-53

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.04.11	Sydney Comets W	60 : 94	Newcastle Falcons W
2024.04.21	Sydney Comets W	58 : 79	Newcastle Falcons W
2023.07.29	Newcastle Falcons W	76 : 85	Sydney Comets W
2023.07.01	Sydney Comets W	50 : 71	Newcastle Falcons W
2023.04.29	Newcastle Falcons W	86 : 70	Sydney Comets W