Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 East Women
Australia
Hills Hornets WHOME · -
59 : 692023.04.29 · 종료
Maitland Mustangs WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME18.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY81.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM65 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
AWAY 84.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+81.9%
VALUE EDGE+81.9%
FAIR ODDS1.22
GRADEB
Hills Hornets WAnalysis MetricsMaitland Mustangs W
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
+9.33
Point MarginHigher is better
+7.25
160.33
Pace ProxyComparison metric
151.75
80.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
40.0%
6.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
65/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement4.7 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Hills Hornets W
L · 74-51L · 96-39L · 76-61L · 59-86L · 57-67
Maitland Mustangs W
W · 49-63W · 70-61W · 104-52L · 50-73L · 86-64
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.07.04 | Hills Hornets W | 101 : 80 | Maitland Mustangs W |
| 2026.05.23 | Maitland Mustangs W | 82 : 76 | Hills Hornets W |
| 2024.05.11 | Maitland Mustangs W | 56 : 72 | Hills Hornets W |
| 2023.04.29 | Hills Hornets W | 59 : 69 | Maitland Mustangs W |