Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 East Women Australia

Newcastle Falcons WHOME · -

74 : 512023.04.23 · 종료

Hills Hornets WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME88.0%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY12.0%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK HOME 88.9% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +88.0%

VALUE EDGE+88.0%

FAIR ODDS1.14

GRADEB

Newcastle Falcons WAnalysis MetricsHills Hornets W

50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%

+12.00 Point MarginHigher is better +9.33

149.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 160.33

75.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 42.9%

7.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

67/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement8.8 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

88.0%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

12.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Newcastle Falcons W

L · 70-61W · 57-67W · 61-52W · 64-55W · 52-66

Hills Hornets W

L · 96-39L · 76-61L · 59-86L · 57-67L · 101-53

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.07.25	Newcastle Falcons W	69 : 61	Hills Hornets W
2026.03.29	Newcastle Falcons W	76 : 64	Hills Hornets W
2024.06.29	Newcastle Falcons W	91 : 61	Hills Hornets W
2023.04.23	Newcastle Falcons W	74 : 51	Hills Hornets W
2023.04.01	Hills Hornets W	57 : 67	Newcastle Falcons W