Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 East Women
Australia
Penrith P. WHOME · -
46 : 612023.04.23 · 종료
Canberra WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME43.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY56.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
AWAY 53.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+56.4%
VALUE EDGE+56.4%
FAIR ODDS1.77
GRADEA
Penrith P. WAnalysis MetricsCanberra W
8.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
-26.50
Point MarginHigher is better
+8.67
141.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
160.17
14.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
66.7%
0.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
73/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.0 / 15
Prediction separation5.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Penrith P. W
L · 59-57L · 93-36W · 59-86L · 84-63L · 88-81
Canberra W
W · 38-84L · 61-71L · 68-54L · 90-81L · 61-52
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.04.25 | Canberra W | 73 : 52 | Penrith P. W |
| 2024.05.04 | Penrith P. W | 56 : 53 | Canberra W |
| 2023.06.03 | Canberra W | 93 : 48 | Penrith P. W |
| 2023.04.23 | Penrith P. W | 46 : 61 | Canberra W |