Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 East Women Australia

Hornsby S. WHOME · -

38 : 842023.04.22 · 종료

Canberra WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME35.6%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY64.4%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK AWAY 57.8% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +64.4%

VALUE EDGE+64.4%

FAIR ODDS1.55

GRADEA

Hornsby S. WAnalysis MetricsCanberra W

33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%

-7.33 Point MarginHigher is better +8.67

155.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 160.17

20.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 66.7%

7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement12.8 / 15

Prediction separation12.4 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

35.6%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

64.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Hornsby S. W

L · 85-60L · 41-71L · 104-52L · 109-53L · 104-40

Canberra W

L · 61-71L · 68-54L · 90-81L · 61-52W · 71-59

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.05.31	Hornsby S. W	81 : 109	Canberra W
2026.05.23	Canberra W	83 : 95	Hornsby S. W
2024.07.14	Hornsby S. W	78 : 92	Canberra W
2024.04.27	Canberra W	100 : 78	Hornsby S. W
2023.04.22	Hornsby S. W	38 : 84	Canberra W