Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

NBL1 East Women Australia

Manly W. WHOME · -

59 : 572023.04.22 · 종료

Penrith P. WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME87.2%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY12.8%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK HOME 88.9% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +87.2%

VALUE EDGE+87.2%

FAIR ODDS1.15

GRADES

Manly W. WAnalysis MetricsPenrith P. W

75.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 8.3%

+19.08 Point MarginHigher is better -26.50

154.08 Pace ProxyComparison metric 141.83

75.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%

0.8일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.1일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.8 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

87.2%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

12.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Manly W. W

W · 73-95W · 50-74W · 70-73W · 84-50W · 88-79

Penrith P. W

L · 93-36W · 59-86L · 84-63L · 88-81W · 74-83

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.04.19	Manly W. W	110 : 57	Penrith P. W
2024.06.15	Penrith P. W	40 : 63	Manly W. W
2023.05.20	Penrith P. W	61 : 114	Manly W. W
2023.04.22	Manly W. W	59 : 57	Penrith P. W