Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 East Women Australia

Norths Bears WHOME · -

93 : 362023.04.15 · 종료

Penrith P. WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME58.6%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY41.4%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK HOME 53.3% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +58.6%

VALUE EDGE+58.6%

FAIR ODDS1.71

GRADEA

Norths Bears WAnalysis MetricsPenrith P. W

91.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 8.3%

+22.92 Point MarginHigher is better -26.50

159.08 Pace ProxyComparison metric 141.83

85.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%

0.8일 Rest daysComparison metric 0.8일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement10.2 / 15

Prediction separation7.4 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

58.6%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

41.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Norths Bears W

L · 70-73W · 70-75W · 50-73W · 47-80L · 70-55

Penrith P. W

W · 59-86L · 84-63L · 88-81W · 74-83L · 86-61

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.06.13	Penrith P. W	67 : 113	Norths Bears W
2024.07.06	Penrith P. W	45 : 92	Norths Bears W
2024.05.11	Norths Bears W	78 : 68	Penrith P. W
2023.07.15	Penrith P. W	50 : 91	Norths Bears W
2023.04.15	Norths Bears W	93 : 36	Penrith P. W