Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 East Women
Australia
Hills Hornets WHOME · -
59 : 862023.04.14 · 종료
Penrith P. WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME51.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY48.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+51.1%
VALUE EDGE+51.1%
FAIR ODDS1.96
GRADEA
Hills Hornets WAnalysis MetricsPenrith P. W
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
8.3%
+9.33
Point MarginHigher is better
-26.50
160.33
Pace ProxyComparison metric
141.83
80.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
13.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
12.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement9.1 / 15
Prediction separation0.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Hills Hornets W
L · 57-67L · 101-53L · 41-72W · 47-59
Penrith P. W
L · 84-63L · 88-81W · 74-83L · 86-61
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.07.10 | Penrith P. W | 67 : 93 | Hills Hornets W |
| 2024.06.02 | Hills Hornets W | 91 : 74 | Penrith P. W |
| 2023.06.24 | Penrith P. W | 58 : 66 | Hills Hornets W |
| 2023.04.14 | Hills Hornets W | 59 : 86 | Penrith P. W |