Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 East Women Australia

Hills Hornets WHOME · -

57 : 672023.04.01 · 종료

Newcastle Falcons WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME21.8%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY78.2%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM66 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK AWAY 77.6% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +78.2%

VALUE EDGE+78.2%

FAIR ODDS1.28

GRADEB

Hills Hornets WAnalysis MetricsNewcastle Falcons W

58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%

+9.33 Point MarginHigher is better +12.00

160.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 149.33

80.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 37.5%

7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

66/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement5.5 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

21.8%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

78.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Hills Hornets W

L · 101-53L · 41-72W · 47-59

Newcastle Falcons W

W · 61-52W · 64-55W · 52-66

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.07.25	Newcastle Falcons W	69 : 61	Hills Hornets W
2026.03.29	Newcastle Falcons W	76 : 64	Hills Hornets W
2024.06.29	Newcastle Falcons W	91 : 61	Hills Hornets W
2023.04.23	Newcastle Falcons W	74 : 51	Hills Hornets W
2023.04.01	Hills Hornets W	57 : 67	Newcastle Falcons W