Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 East Women Australia

Manly W. WHOME · -

84 : 502023.04.01 · 종료

Illawarra Hawks WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME81.7%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY18.3%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100

AI PICK HOME 84.4% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +81.7%

VALUE EDGE+81.7%

FAIR ODDS1.22

GRADEA

Manly W. WAnalysis MetricsIllawarra Hawks W

75.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%

+19.08 Point MarginHigher is better -14.50

154.08 Pace ProxyComparison metric 151.83

75.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%

7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.2일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.1 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.6 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

81.7%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

18.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Manly W. W

W · 88-79L · 64-55W · 70-55

Illawarra Hawks W

L · 86-50L · 78-70L · 74-83L · 61-71

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.06.20	Manly W. W	103 : 51	Illawarra Hawks W
2024.07.06	Manly W. W	82 : 51	Illawarra Hawks W
2023.04.01	Manly W. W	84 : 50	Illawarra Hawks W