Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 East Women
Australia
Maitland Mustangs WHOME · -
50 : 732023.03.26 · 종료
Norths Bears WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME39.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY60.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
AWAY 57.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+60.1%
VALUE EDGE+60.1%
FAIR ODDS1.66
GRADEA
Maitland Mustangs WAnalysis MetricsNorths Bears W
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
91.7%
+7.25
Point MarginHigher is better
+22.92
151.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
159.08
71.4%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
100.0%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.2 / 15
Prediction separation8.7 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Maitland Mustangs W
L · 86-64L · 71-59W · 61-71
Norths Bears W
W · 47-80L · 70-55
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.05.30 | Norths Bears W | 76 : 72 | Maitland Mustangs W |
| 2024.06.29 | Norths Bears W | 82 : 55 | Maitland Mustangs W |
| 2023.07.29 | Norths Bears W | 81 : 57 | Maitland Mustangs W |
| 2023.03.26 | Maitland Mustangs W | 50 : 73 | Norths Bears W |