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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL1 East Women Australia
BA CoE WHOME · -
86 : 502023.03.26 · 종료
Illawarra Hawks WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME78.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY21.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100
AI PICK HOME 77.6% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +78.5%
VALUE EDGE+78.5%
FAIR ODDS1.27
GRADES
BA CoE WAnalysis MetricsIllawarra Hawks W
66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%
+4.92 Point MarginHigher is better -14.50
151.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 151.83
83.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%
0.8일 Rest daysComparison metric 0.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

76/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
78.5%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
21.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
BA CoE W
W · 88-81W · 86-64W · 46-81W · 87-49W · 67-73
Illawarra Hawks W
L · 78-70L · 74-83L · 61-71

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.05.02Illawarra Hawks W77 : 96BA CoE W
2024.06.22Illawarra Hawks W70 : 58BA CoE W
2024.05.26BA CoE W75 : 56Illawarra Hawks W
2023.05.21Illawarra Hawks W63 : 91BA CoE W
2023.03.26BA CoE W86 : 50Illawarra Hawks W