Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 East Women Australia

Newcastle Falcons WHOME · -

64 : 552023.03.18 · 종료

Manly W. WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME50.2%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY49.8%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK HOME 52.5% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +50.2%

VALUE EDGE+50.2%

FAIR ODDS1.99

GRADEB

Newcastle Falcons WAnalysis MetricsManly W. W

50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 75.0%

+12.00 Point MarginHigher is better +19.08

149.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 154.08

75.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 75.0%

7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

68/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement10.7 / 15

Prediction separation0.2 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

50.2%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

49.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Newcastle Falcons W

W · 52-66

Manly W. W

W · 70-55

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.08.02	Manly W. W	90 : 78	Newcastle Falcons W
2026.06.27	Newcastle Falcons W	57 : 67	Manly W. W
2024.08.03	Newcastle Falcons W	88 : 72	Manly W. W
2024.06.22	Manly W. W	74 : 75	Newcastle Falcons W
2023.03.18	Newcastle Falcons W	64 : 55	Manly W. W