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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL1 East Women Australia
Sydney Comets WHOME · -
86 : 612023.03.11 · 종료
Penrith P. WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME50.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY49.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100
AI PICK HOME 52.5% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +50.6%
VALUE EDGE+50.6%
FAIR ODDS1.98
GRADEA
Sydney Comets WAnalysis MetricsPenrith P. W
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 8.3%
-8.25 Point MarginHigher is better -26.50
144.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 141.83
33.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.2 / 15
Prediction separation0.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
50.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
49.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Sydney Comets W
Collecting Data
Penrith P. W
Collecting Data

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.05.03Penrith P. W60 : 73Sydney Comets W
2026.04.18Sydney Comets W70 : 56Penrith P. W
2024.07.05Penrith P. W84 : 97Sydney Comets W
2023.03.11Sydney Comets W86 : 61Penrith P. W