Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 East
Australia · NBL1 East - Final
CanberraHOME · -
76 : 732022.08.28 · 종료
Maitland M.AWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME68.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY31.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
97/100
AI PICK
HOME 67.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+68.1%
VALUE EDGE+68.1%
FAIR ODDS1.47
GRADEA
CanberraAnalysis MetricsMaitland M.
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
-2.50
Point MarginHigher is better
+8.08
157.17
Pace ProxyComparison metric
169.92
37.5%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
0.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Canberra
W · 106-75W · 77-79W · 92-63L · 90-91L · 102-77
Maitland M.
W · 104-82W · 106-81W · 90-84W · 90-91L · 77-91
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.07.25 | Canberra | 70 : 94 | Maitland M. |
| 2026.04.18 | Maitland M. | 73 : 75 | Canberra |
| 2025.07.19 | Canberra | 76 : 71 | Maitland M. |
| 2025.05.10 | Maitland M. | 86 : 72 | Canberra |
| 2022.08.28 | Canberra | 76 : 73 | Maitland M. |
| 2022.08.05 | Canberra | 90 : 91 | Maitland M. |
| 2022.04.30 | Maitland M. | 83 : 88 | Canberra |