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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL1 East Australia · NBL1 East - Semi-finals
Maitland M.HOME · -
104 : 822022.08.27 · 종료
Sutherland SharksAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME70.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY29.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100
AI PICK HOME 73.3% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +70.4%
VALUE EDGE+70.4%
FAIR ODDS1.42
GRADEB
Maitland M.Analysis MetricsSutherland Sharks
66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 83.3%
+8.08 Point MarginHigher is better +12.92
169.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 163.75
83.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 80.0%
13.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

67/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.1 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
70.4%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
29.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Maitland M.
W · 106-81W · 90-84W · 90-91L · 77-91W · 87-94
Sutherland Sharks
W · 78-96L · 61-87L · 90-94W · 106-74W · 65-80

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.08.01Sutherland Sharks100 : 76Maitland M.
2026.04.11Sutherland Sharks93 : 79Maitland M.
2025.06.14Sutherland Sharks87 : 75Maitland M.
2022.08.27Maitland M.104 : 82Sutherland Sharks
2022.07.30Maitland M.77 : 91Sutherland Sharks
2022.05.21Sutherland Sharks64 : 71Maitland M.