Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 East
Australia · NBL1 East - Semi-finals
CanberraHOME · -
106 : 752022.08.27 · 종료
Illawarra HawksAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME73.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY27.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
HOME 73.3%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+73.0%
VALUE EDGE+73.0%
FAIR ODDS1.37
GRADEB
CanberraAnalysis MetricsIllawarra Hawks
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-2.50
Point MarginHigher is better
-6.33
157.17
Pace ProxyComparison metric
204.00
37.5%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
57.1%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
67/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.3 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Canberra
W · 77-79W · 92-63L · 90-91L · 102-77W · 95-68
Illawarra Hawks
W · 94-82L · 106-81W · 90-94W · 113-84W · 91-77
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022.08.27 | Canberra | 106 : 75 | Illawarra Hawks |
| 2022.07.23 | Illawarra Hawks | 102 : 77 | Canberra |
| 2022.04.10 | Canberra | 89 : 97 | Illawarra Hawks |