Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

NBL1 East Australia · NBL1 East - Quarter-finals

Illawarra HawksHOME · -

94 : 822022.08.20 · 종료

Norths BearsAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME67.7%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY32.3%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100

AI PICK HOME 67.6% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +67.7%

VALUE EDGE+67.7%

FAIR ODDS1.48

GRADEA

Illawarra HawksAnalysis MetricsNorths Bears

41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 75.0%

-6.33 Point MarginHigher is better +10.50

204.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 161.33

20.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 66.7%

6.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

68/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.1 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement4.5 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

67.7%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

32.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Illawarra Hawks

L · 106-81W · 90-94W · 113-84W · 91-77W · 102-104

Norths Bears

L · 93-72L · 91-77W · 76-69W · 82-89W · 81-76

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2022.08.20	Illawarra Hawks	94 : 82	Norths Bears
2022.08.06	Illawarra Hawks	91 : 77	Norths Bears
2022.05.28	Norths Bears	72 : 100	Illawarra Hawks