Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 East
Australia · 18
Maitland M.HOME · -
106 : 812022.08.14 · 종료
Illawarra HawksAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME57.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY42.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
HOME 54.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+57.4%
VALUE EDGE+57.4%
FAIR ODDS1.74
GRADEA
Maitland M.Analysis MetricsIllawarra Hawks
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
+8.08
Point MarginHigher is better
-6.33
169.92
Pace ProxyComparison metric
204.00
83.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
57.1%
0.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
73/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.9 / 15
Prediction separation6.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Maitland M.
W · 90-84W · 90-91L · 77-91W · 87-94W · 98-66
Illawarra Hawks
W · 90-94W · 113-84W · 91-77W · 102-104W · 102-77
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022.08.14 | Maitland M. | 106 : 81 | Illawarra Hawks |
| 2022.05.07 | Illawarra Hawks | 103 : 93 | Maitland M. |