Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 East
Australia · 18
Newcastle FalconsHOME · -
93 : 722022.08.13 · 종료
Norths BearsAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME62.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY37.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
93/100
AI PICK
HOME 57.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+62.9%
VALUE EDGE+62.9%
FAIR ODDS1.59
GRADEB
Newcastle FalconsAnalysis MetricsNorths Bears
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
75.0%
+0.75
Point MarginHigher is better
+10.50
162.92
Pace ProxyComparison metric
161.33
80.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
66.7%
6.2일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
67/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.2 / 15
Prediction separation11.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Newcastle Falcons
W · 86-68L · 76-69L · 98-61L · 72-59L · 95-68
Norths Bears
L · 91-77W · 76-69W · 82-89W · 81-76L · 98-66
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.05.09 | Norths Bears | 95 : 80 | Newcastle Falcons |
| 2025.06.21 | Norths Bears | 102 : 70 | Newcastle Falcons |
| 2025.05.31 | Newcastle Falcons | 78 : 68 | Norths Bears |
| 2022.08.13 | Newcastle Falcons | 93 : 72 | Norths Bears |
| 2022.07.31 | Norths Bears | 76 : 69 | Newcastle Falcons |