Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 East Australia · 18

Sutherland SharksHOME · -

90 : 942022.08.13 · 종료

Illawarra HawksAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME55.8%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY44.2%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100

AI PICK HOME 54.0% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +55.8%

VALUE EDGE+55.8%

FAIR ODDS1.79

GRADEA

Sutherland SharksAnalysis MetricsIllawarra Hawks

83.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%

+12.92 Point MarginHigher is better -6.33

163.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 204.00

85.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 57.1%

7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.2일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

72/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage17.7 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement13.3 / 15

Prediction separation5.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

55.8%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

44.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Sutherland Sharks

W · 106-74W · 65-80W · 77-91W · 86-84L · 81-72

Illawarra Hawks

W · 113-84W · 91-77W · 102-104W · 102-77W · 71-90

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2022.08.13	Sutherland Sharks	90 : 94	Illawarra Hawks
2022.04.02	Illawarra Hawks	85 : 87	Sutherland Sharks