Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 East Australia · 18

Maitland M.HOME · -

90 : 842022.08.13 · 종료

Manly W.AWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME72.5%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY27.5%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK HOME 73.3% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +72.5%

VALUE EDGE+72.5%

FAIR ODDS1.38

GRADEA

Maitland M.Analysis MetricsManly W.

66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%

+8.08 Point MarginHigher is better +0.50

169.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 159.00

83.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 20.0%

7.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

72/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement13.0 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

72.5%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

27.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Maitland M.

W · 90-91L · 77-91W · 87-94W · 98-66W · 90-95

Manly W.

L · 92-63L · 102-104W · 81-72W · 77-95L · 94-87

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.05.24	Maitland M.	85 : 61	Manly W.
2025.05.17	Manly W.	104 : 91	Maitland M.
2022.08.13	Maitland M.	90 : 84	Manly W.
2022.06.04	Manly W.	105 : 92	Maitland M.