Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 East
Australia · 17
Illawarra HawksHOME · -
91 : 772022.08.06 · 종료
Norths BearsAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME60.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY39.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
HOME 57.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+60.4%
VALUE EDGE+60.4%
FAIR ODDS1.66
GRADEA
Illawarra HawksAnalysis MetricsNorths Bears
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
75.0%
-6.33
Point MarginHigher is better
+10.50
204.00
Pace ProxyComparison metric
161.33
20.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
66.7%
7.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.7 / 15
Prediction separation8.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Illawarra Hawks
W · 102-104W · 102-77W · 71-90L · 64-103L · 78-66
Norths Bears
W · 76-69W · 82-89W · 81-76L · 98-66W · 97-80
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022.08.20 | Illawarra Hawks | 94 : 82 | Norths Bears |
| 2022.08.06 | Illawarra Hawks | 91 : 77 | Norths Bears |
| 2022.05.28 | Norths Bears | 72 : 100 | Illawarra Hawks |