Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 East
Australia · 17
Hills HornetsHOME · -
86 : 762022.08.06 · 종료
Central Coast CrusadersAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME58.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY41.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
HOME 54.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+58.4%
VALUE EDGE+58.4%
FAIR ODDS1.71
GRADEB
Hills HornetsAnalysis MetricsCentral Coast Crusaders
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
-2.75
Point MarginHigher is better
+4.08
159.92
Pace ProxyComparison metric
171.58
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
66.7%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
67/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement9.0 / 15
Prediction separation7.2 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Hills Hornets
W · 84-93L · 90-95W · 54-55W · 94-70L · 79-102
Central Coast Crusaders
L · 82-89W · 72-59L · 71-90L · 76-61L · 81-70
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.04.25 | Hills Hornets | 80 : 68 | Central Coast Crusaders |
| 2025.06.14 | Hills Hornets | 78 : 83 | Central Coast Crusaders |
| 2022.08.06 | Hills Hornets | 86 : 76 | Central Coast Crusaders |
| 2022.05.29 | Central Coast Crusaders | 72 : 79 | Hills Hornets |